PAA Sessions on the Demography of Aging

03/09/98

The 1998 Annual Meeting of the Population Association of America (PAA) will be held at The Hyatt Regency in Chicago, Illinois, from April 2-4, 1998. A number of the papers and posters to be presented will deal with demographic aspects of aging.

The upcoming Spring issue of "NOAH- News on Aging at Hopkins" will highlight these particular sessions, which are listed below. As you will note, a number of these sessions overlap.

POPULATION ASSOCIATION OF AMERICA 1998 MEETING: SESSIONS ON THE DEMOGRAPHY OF AGING

SESSION 8 (4/2, 8:30 a.m.-10:20 a.m.) on: FAMILY STRUCTURE, SOCIAL TIES, HEALTH AND MORTALITY (Chair: Robin M. Weinick, Agency for Health Care Policy and Research; Discussant: Barbara S. Schone, Agency for Health Care Policy and Research)

"Changing Living Arrangements and Mortality Risks of the Urban Elderly in Yunnan Province, China: 1982-1995" - Barbara A. Anderson, University of Michigan; John H. Romani; Cheong-Seok Kim, University of Michigan.

"Families, Social Support, and Health" - Gary D. Sandefur, University of Wisconsin, Madison; Carolyn Lierler, University of Wisconsin, Madison.

"Family Structure, Social Ties, and Emotional Well-Being: Immigrants and Natives at Midlife" - Lingxin Hao, Johns Hopkins University; Richard W. Johnson, Rutgers University.

"The Mediating Effects of Social Ties on Health Impact of Stressful Life Events Among Older Taiwanese" - Megan K. Beckett, RAND; Noreen Goldman, Princeton University; Maxine Weinstein, Georgetown University; I-Ren Len, Princeton University; Yi-Li Chuang, Taiwan Provincial Institute of Family Planning.

SESSION 10 (4/2, 8:30 a.m.-10:20 a.m.) on: THE BIODEMOGRAPHY OF AGING (Chair: S. Jay Olshansky, University of Chicago; Discussant: Bruce A. Carnes, Argonne National Laboratory)

"Biodemographic Study of Parental Age Effects on Human Longevity" - Leonid Gavrilov, NORC and University of Chicago; Natalia S. Gavrilova, NORC and University of Chicago; Galina N. Evdokushkina, Russian Academy of Sciences; Victoria G. Semyonova, Russian Academy of Sciences.

"Biodemography and Population Dynamics" - Leonard R. Smith, Australian National University.

"How Unusual is the Human Life Span? A Comparative View of Human Longevity" - Debra S. Judge, University of California, Davis; James R. Carey, University of California, Davis.

"The Molecular Biodemography of Longevity" - James W. Vaupel, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research.

SESSION 12 (4/2, 8:30 a.m.-10:20 a.m.) on: INTERGENERATIONAL TRANSFERS IN DEVELOPING COUNTRIES (Chair: Rebeca Wong, Johns Hopkins University; Discussant: Robert J. Willis, University of Michigan)

"Informal Insurance and Moral Hazard: Evidence from Thai Remittances" - Anna L. Paulson, Northwestern University).

"Kinship and Economic Solidarity in Cote d'Ivoire" - Guy Stecklov, UN Population Division.

"Parent-Children Coresidence and Inter-Siblings Transfers in Indonesia" - Antoine Bommier, INED.

"Survival Strategies Among Rural Swazi Households: Some Historical, Sociocultural, and Gender Dimensions" - Catherine M. Marquette, Christian Michelsen Institute; Francisco Pichon, World Bank.

SESSION 20 (4/2, 10:30 a.m.-12:20 p.m.) on: FAMILY ORGANIZATION, INTERGENERATIONAL TRANSFERS, AND FAMILY OUTCOMES (Chair: Linda J. Waite, University of Chicago; Discussant: Kathleen A. Cagney, NORC and University of Chicago)

"Inheritances, Bequests, and Expectations of Long-Term Care in AHEAD Survey" - Gloria D. Gibson, Johns Hopkins University.

"Long-Term Care and Nursing Home Coverage: Are Adult Children Substitutes for Insurance?" - Jennifer M. Mellor, Yale University.

"The Dynamics of Monetary Transfers to Assist Parents: How Persistent Are Middle-Aged Donors?" - Rebeca Wong, Johns Hopkins University; Chiara Capoferro, Georgetown University; Beth Soldo, Georgetown University.

"Ties That Bind: Marital History, Kinship Ties, and Social Support Among Older Americans" - Sara R. Curran, Princeton University; Sara McLanahan, Princeton University; Jean Knab, Princeton University.

SESSION 23 (4/2, 10:30 a.m.-12:00 p.m.) on: POPULATION AGING ISSUES IN DEVELOPING COUNTRIES (Chair: Kevin G. Kinsella, U.S. Bureau of the Census; Discussant: Donald J. Adamchak, Kansas State University).

"Dynamics of Living Arrangements Among the Aged" - George C. Myers, Duke University.

"Evaluation of Measures of Cognitive Functioning Among Taiwanese Elderly: A Comparison with Findings from the U.S. AHEAD Survey" - Mary Beth Ofstedal, University of Michigan; Zachary Zimmer, University of Michigan; Hui-Sheng Lin, Taiwan Provincial Institute for Family Planning.

"Projecting the Very Old =96 Approaches and Preliminary Results" - Thomas Buettner, United Nations.

"Support from Children Versus Other Sources in East and Southeast Asia" - Angelique W. M. Chan, National University of Singapore; Napaporn Chayovan, Chulalongkorn University; Ming Cheng Chang, Taiwan Provincial Institute of Family Planning; Grace Trinidad Cruz, University of the Philippines.

SESSION 37 (4/2, 1:30 p.m.-3:20 p.m.) on: LIFE SPAN AND CUMULATIVE RISK APPROACHES TO MORTALITY (Chair: Nancy E. Moss, North California Cancer Center; Discussant: Alberto Palloni, University of Wisconsin, Madison)

"Effects of Early Life Conditions on Adult Health: Evidence from the Health and Retirement Study" - Irma T. Elo, University of Pennsylvania.

"Life Course Pathways and Risk of Death: A Cause of Death Analysis Among Older Men" - Amy M. Pienta, Wayne State University; Mark D. Hayward, Pennsylvania State University; Diane K. McLaughlin, Pennsylvania State University.

"Mechanisms of Familial Transmission of Human Longevity: Comparison of Maternal and Paternal Contributions to Offspring Lifespan" - Natalia S. Gavrilova, NORC and University of Chicago; Leonid Gavrilov, NORC and University of Chicago; Galina N. Evdokushkina, Russian Academy of Sciences; Victoria G. Semyonava, Russian Academy of Sciences.

"The Intrauterine Origins of Longevity" - David Barker, Southampton General Hospital.

SESSION 40 (4/2, 1:30 p.m.-3:20 p.m.) on: DYNAMICS OF DISABILITY IN THE 65+ AGE GROUP (Chair: Vicki A. Freedman, RAND; Discussant: Adrienne H. Mihelic, Mortality and Research Center)

"Differentials in the Onset and Progression of Disability in Early Old Age in Great Britain" - Emily Grundy, University of London; Karen Glaser, University of London.

"Dynamics of Obesity and Arthritis in the AHEAD Population" - Christine L. Himes, Syracuse University.

"Functional Limitation, Disability and Perceived Health of the Oldest Old: An Examination of Health Status in AHEAD" - Melissa Farmer, RAND.

"I Feel Good: Measuring Health Status in Rural Russia" - Cynthia J. Buckley, University of Texas, Austin.

SESSION 54 (4/2, 3:30 p.m.-5:20 p.m.) on: THE ROLES OF OLDER FAMILY MEMBERS IN DEVELOPING COUNTRIES (Chair: Cynthia J. Buskley, University of Texas, Austin; Discussant: M. Omar Rahman, Harvard University).

"Do Fostered Grandchildren Substitute For or Stimulate Intergenerational Transfers? Evidence from Indonesia" - Laura L. Rudkin, University of Texas Medical Branch.

"Grandparent Wealth, Coresidence, and Investments in Children: Evidence from the Rural Philippines" - Agnes R. Quisumbing, IFPRI.

"The Emerging Role of Grandparents in Asia" - Albert I. Hermalin, University of Michigan; Carol L. Roan, University of Michigan; Aurora Perez, University of the Philippines.

"The Role of Grandparents as Child Care Providers in Brazil" - Leticia J. Marteleto, University of Michigan; Mary Noonan, University of Michigan.

SESSION 65 (4/3, 8:30 a.m.-10:20 a.m.) on: REFORMING PUBLIC PENSION SYSTEMS: DEMOGRAPHIC CONSTRAINTS AND POLICY OPTIONS (Chair: Richard V. Burkhauser, Syracuse University; Discussant: Diane J. Macunovich, Center for Policy Research)

"Implicit Pension Debt, Transitional Fiscal Costs and Demographic Factors in Shifting from Unfunded to Funded Pension Regimes" - Andras Uthoff, ECLAC; Jorge H. Bravo, CELADE.

"Mortality Decline and Social Security's Retirement Rules" - David Weir, University of Chicago; David Meltzer, University of Chicago.

"Uncertain Demographic Futures and Government Budgets in the U.S." - Ronald D. Lee (University of California, Berkeley; Shripad D. Tuljapurkar, Mountain View Research; Ryan Edwards, University of California, Berkeley.

"What You See Today Is Not What You Get Tomorrow: Effects on Older Women from Proposed Changes in Social Security Policies" - Howard M. Iams, Social Security Administration; Steven H. Sandell, Social Security Administration.

SESSION 71 (4/3, 10:30 a.m.-12:20 p.m.) on: THE NEW LONGITUDINAL STUDY OF AGING (Chair: Mark D. Hayward, Pennsylvania State University; Discussant: Emily M. Agree, Johns Hopkins University)

"An Introduction to the New Longitudinal Study of Aging" - Julie Dawson Weeks, National Center for Health Statistics.

"Change in Disease Prevalence, 1984-1994" - Eileen M. Crimmins, University of Southern California; Yasuhiko Saito, Nihon University.

"Changes in Functional Limitations in the Elderly Population: Preliminary Findings from the Second Supplement on Aging" - Harold Lentzner, National Center for Health Statistics; Julie Dawson Weeks, National Center for Health Statistics; Jacob Feldman, National Center for Health Statistics.

"Cohort Differences in Disease and Disability" - Sandra Reynolds, University of South Florida.

SESSION 93 (4/3, 12:30 p.m.-2:20 p.m.) on: NEW LIVING AND CARE ARRANGEMENTS FOR THE ELDERLY (Chair: Christine L. Himes, Syracuse University; Discussant: Jacqueline Lowe Angel, University of Texas, Austin)

"Burden of Family Caregivers of the Elders in China: Examining the Effects of Living Arrangements, Kin Relationships, and Familial Obligations" - Juxin Di, Fordham University.

"Care Arrangement Choice: Integrating Quantitative and Qualitative Measures" - Carol L. Jenkins, Huburn University.

"Race and Ethnic Differences in the Transition to and from Extended Family Living Among Older Adults in the United States" - Jennifer E. Glick, Brown University; Jennifer V.W. Van Hook, University of Texas, Austin.

"Race, Social Class, and Family Structure Determinants of Long-Term Care Arrangements" - Kathleen A. Cagney, NORC and University of Chicago; Emily M. Agree, Johns Hopkins University.

SESSION 100 (4/3. 2:30p.m.-4:20 p.m.) on: ECONOMICS OF RETIREMENT (Chair, Robin Lumsdaine, Brown University; Discussant: Constantijn W. A. Panis, RAND)

"Health Insurance and Labor Market Transition of Older Workers" - Lynn A. Karoly, RAND; Jeannette Rogowski, RAND.

"Labor Force Transitions of Older Married Couples in Germany" - David M. Blau, University of North Carolina, Chapel Hill; Regina T. Riphahn, University of Munich.

"Prospects for Widow Poverty in the Finances of Married Couples in HRS and AHEAD" - David Weir, University of Chicago; Robert J. Willis, University of Michigan.

"The Timing of Marital Events Over the Life Course and Pre-Retirement Wealth Outcomes" - Janet Wilmoth, Purdue University.

SESSION 107 (4/3, 2:30 p.m.-4:20 p.m.) on: MATHEMATICAL DEMOGRAPHY (Chair: Young J. Kim, Johns Hopkins University; Discussant: Thomas W. Pullum, University of Texas, Austin)

"A Comprehensive Approach to Mortality Change-Age Composition Interrelations" - George J. Stolnitz, Indiana University.

"Effects of Age Misreporting on Mortality Estimates at Older Ages" - Samuel H. Preston, University of Pennsylvania; Irma T. Elo, University of Pennsylvania; Quincy Stewart, University of Pennsylvania.

"Multistate Population Models with Changing Rates" - Robert Schoen, Johns Hopkins University; Young J. Kim, Johns Hopkins University.

"Population Momentum" - Nan Li, Stanford University; Shripad D. Tuljapurkar, Mountain View Research.

"Strength and Frailty of Frailty Modeling" - Anatoli Yashin, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research; Ivan Iachine, Odense University; Alexander Begun, Max Planck Institute of Demographic Research; Nicole Giard, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research.

SESSION 114 (4/4, 8:30 a.m.-10:20 a.m.) on: RACE, SES, AND U.S. ADULT MORTALITY (Chair: Robert A. Hummer, University of Texas, Austin; Discussant: Isaac W. Eberstein, Florida State University)

"Age Modification in the Association Between Income and Mortality Among U.S. Blacks and Whites: The National Health Interview Survey (1986-1990)" - Jay S. Kaufman, Carolinas Medical Center; Andrew E. Long, Loyola University Strich School of Medicine; Youlian Liao, Loyola University Stritch School of Medicine; Richard S. Cooper, Loyola University Stritch School of Medicine; Daniel L. McGee, Loyola University Stritch School of Medicine.

"Black/White Differences in Mortality Among Older Americans: Evidence from the Longitudinal Study of Aging" - Philip N. Cohen, University of Maryland.

"Early Life Conditions that Predict Survival to Very Advanced Ages" - Samuel H. Preston, University of Pennsylvania; Mark E. Hill, University of Pennsylvania; Greg L. Drevenstedt, University of Pennsylvania.

"Excess Mortality Among Prime-Aged Adults in Selected Poor Populations" - Arline T. Geronimus, University of Michigan; John Bound, University of Michigan; Timothy A. Waidmann, Urban Institute.

SESSION 123 (4/4, 8:30 a.m.-10:20 a.m.) on: POPULATION AGING ISSUES IN DEVELOPING COUNTRIES II (Chair: Victoria A. Velkoff, U.S. Bureau of the Census; Discussant: Laura L. Rudkin, University of Texas Medical Branch)

"Aging and Health in Latin American" - Roberto Ham-Chande, El Colegio de la Frontera Norte.

"Elderly Migration in the Philippines: Where Are They Going and Why?" - Lindy Williams, Cornell University; Aurora Perez, University of the Philippines; Florio Arguillas Jr., University of the Philippines.

"Living Arrangements, Life Style and Health Status of Centenarians in Beijing, Chendu and Hangzhou, China" - Max Planck Institute.

"Sociable Security: Family Support and Elderly Well-Being in Fiji, 1966-1986" - Sela V. Panapasa, Brown University.

SESSION 135 (4/4, 10:30 a.m.-12:20 p.m.) on: SES, HEALTH, AND MORTALITY (Chair: W. Parker Frisbie, University of Texas, Austin; Discussant: Felician LeClere, University of Notre Dame).

"American Mortality in International Perspective: The Evolution of Relative Rankings by Age" - John R. Wilmoth, University of California, Berkeley.

"Social Class Indicators and Health at Midlife" - Robert M. Hauser, University of Wisconsin, Madison; Richard A. Miech, University of Wisconsin, Madison.

"The Correlation Between Education and Mortality" - John Cawley, University of Chicago.

"The Influence of Career Change on Midlife Mental Health" - Deborah S. Carr, University of Michigan.

POSTER SESSION I (4/2, 9:30 a.m.-11:30 a.m.)

"Family Generational Structure Among Mid-life Adults: U.S.-British Comparisons" - John C. Henretta, University of Florida; Emily Grundy, University of London; Karen Glaser, University of London.

"Implications of Childlessness for Mid-Life Asset Accumulation & Parental Transfers" - Beth Soldo, Georgetown University.

"Old Age Security and Fertility in Rural Andhra Pradesh, India" - K. Rajasekhar, Sri Venkatesward University.

POSTER SESSION II (4/2, 2:30 p.m.-4:30 p.m.)

"Establishment Life Tables=96Application of Life Table Technique to the 1987 and 1992 Economic Census Establishment Populations" - Alfred R. Nucci, U.S. Bureau of the Census.

"Older Women - Their Economic Status" - Yvonne Gist, U.S. Bureau of the Census.

POSTER SESSION III (4/3, 9:30 a.m.-11:30 a.m.)

"A Relational Model of Mortality of Older Ages in China in 1990" - Rualong Huang, Nanjing College for Population.

"Access of Health Care Among the Elderly in Russia" - Tracy Lynn Armstrong, University of Maryland.

"Aging Trends in the Gambia" - Richard A. Smiley, U.S. Bureau of the Census.

"Chronos, Thanatos, and the Future of Medicare" - Tim Miller, University of California, Berkeley.

"Coping with Age-Disabilities Through Home Modifications: Results from AHEAD" - Nandinee Kutty, Cornell University.

"Differential Quality of Life of Elderly Population in Southern Africa" - Mahibbur M. Rahman, University of Swaziland.

"Differentials in Female Adult Mortality in South Africa" - Eric Udjo, Central Statistics Services, Pretoria; David Gakere Ndegwa, University of Pretoria.

"Economic Well-Being of the Filipino Elderly" - Grace Trinidad Cruz, University of the Philippines.

"Handicap-Free Life Expectancy by Socioeconomic Status in Canada, 1986 and 1991" - Yves Carriere, Simon Fraser University.

"Health Insurance Coverage of Near Elderly Women: The Role of Labor Supply, Husband's Retirement, and Non-Group Coverage" - Philip F. Cooper, Agency for Health Care Policy and Research; Barbara S. Schone, Agency for Health Care Policy and Research.

"Levels of Physical and Emotional Health Among the Old and the Near-Old in the Philippines: A Cross-Validation of Self-Reported Indicators on Health" - Josefina Natividad, University of the Philippines.

"Life of Elderly People After Retirement in Bangladesh" - Khalid Hasan, Quest Survey Research LTD.

"Living Arrangements of Elderly Chinese in the United States" - Rongjun Sun, Brown University.

"Mortality Change at the Oldest Ages and Implications for Forecasting" - Carl Boe, Mountain View Research.

"Size, Sex, and SES at Midlife: A Sibling Resemblance Model" - Diane S. Shinberg, University of Wisconsin, Madison; H. H. Daphne Kuo, University of Washington.

"Surprising Trends in Danish Mortality: The Results of Comparison With Sweden, The Netherlands and Japan" - K. Andreev, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research; Anatoli Yashin, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research; James W. Vaupel, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research.

"The Effect of Southern Birth on Mortality Among Blacks and Whites in the U.S." - Greg L. Drevenstedt, University of Pennsylvania.

"The System of Social Security for Vietnamese Elderly: Legacies, Current Realities, and Future Challenges: - Daniel M. Goodkind, University of Michigan; Truong Si Anh, Institute for Economic Research; Bui The Cuong, Institute of Sociology, Vietnam; John E. Knodel, University of Michigan.

"When Does the Nest Move? The Effects of Adult Children and Work Status Change on Mobility in Later Mid-Life" - Regina M. Bures, University of Chicago.

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